We Kentucky 
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 75.1518
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
823 H SHouston St CUSA ( 2-10, 58.8) 41-24
830 H No Alabama 55- 6
906 A Toledo MIDA ( 8- 5, 80.0) 21-45
920 H Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 31-16
927 A Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 27-22
1003 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 27-24
1014 H Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 6-25
1021 A La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 28-27
1101 H NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 35-16
1115 H Middle Tenn CUSA ( 3- 9, 66.4) 42-26
1122 A LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 3-13
1129 A Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 34-37
1224 N So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 27-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
823 H SHouston St 41-24 17 22 0.00
906 A Toledo 21-45 -24 -10 - -3.93
920 H Nevada 31-16 15 9 ++ 4.99
927 A Missouri St 27-22 5 0 ++ 5.44
1003 A Delaware 27-24 3 -1 + 3.59
1014 H Florida Intl 6-25 -19 10 --- -23.64
1021 A La Tech 28-27 1 -6 +++ 6.74
1101 H NM St 35-16 19 15 0.00
1115 H Middle Tenn 42-26 16 14 0.04
1122 A LSU 3-13 -10 -13 + 2.88
1129 A Jacksonv. St 34-37 -3 -3 -0.16
1224 N So Miss 27-16 11 7 ++ 4.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1014 H Florida Intl 6-25 -19 10 --- -23.64
906 A Toledo 21-45 -24 -10 - -3.93
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1021 A La Tech 28-27 1 -6 +++ 6.74
920 H Nevada 31-16 15 9 ++ 4.99
927 A Missouri St 27-22 5 0 ++ 5.44
1224 N So Miss 27-16 11 7 ++ 4.05
1003 A Delaware 27-24 3 -1 + 3.59
1122 A LSU 3-13 -10 -13 + 2.88
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H SHouston St ( 2-10, 58.8) 41-24 -41.12 10.10 -5.26 1.06 10.29
3 A Toledo ( 8- 5, 80.0) 21-45 -19.94 31.28 5.26 1.06 -7.80
3 H Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 31-16 -28.49 22.73 -5.26 1.06 37.11
3 A Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 27-22 -29.57 21.65 5.26 1.06 57.19
3 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 27-24 -29.42 21.80 5.26 1.06 57.50
3 H Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 6-25 -29.13 22.09 -5.26 1.06 -18.27
3 A La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 28-27 -24.27 26.95 5.26 1.06 68.45
3 H NM St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 35-16 -34.81 16.41 -5.26 1.06 23.69
3 H Middle Tenn ( 3- 9, 66.4) 42-26 -33.45 17.77 -5.26 1.06 26.58
3 A LSU ( 7- 6, 82.8) 3-13 -17.13 34.09 5.26 1.06 -6.31
3 A Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 34-37 -27.17 24.05 5.26 1.06 -11.64
3 N So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 27-16 -31.70 19.52 -0.00 1.06 41.48
------
278.28
|
winning pts = 322.2951 losing points = -44.0112
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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